Analysis of Trump Jan 6th Pardon List

I took the list of pardon data from Jan-6.com and ran it through Claude.ai w/the following prompt:

please summarize all of the s*** these people did — and why any of them should be pardoned.

The RESPONSE (that I couldn’t agree more with):

Summary of January 6 Crimes and the Pardon Justification Question

What These People Actually Did:

The Most Serious Offenders (Seditious Conspiracy):

Oath Keepers & Proud Boys Leaders:

  • Stewart Rhodes, Enrique Tarrio – Led organized groups that planned to stop the peaceful transfer of power through force
  • Seditious conspiracy = literally plotting to overthrow the government
  • Coordinated military-style operations with weapons caches
  • Some stationed outside DC with firearms ready to bring in

Violent Assaults on Police Officers:

With Deadly Weapons:

  • Beat officers with flagpoles, baseball bats, metal poles
  • Sprayed officers with chemical irritants (pepper spray, bear spray)
  • Used tasers/stun guns on officers (Daniel Rodriguez tasered Officer Fanone repeatedly)
  • Threw fire extinguishers, furniture, barriers at police
  • Dragged officers into crowds to be beaten
  • Thomas Webster – attacked officer with flagpole, then metal gate
  • David Dempsey – assaulted officers 20+ times with various weapons (got 20 years, the longest sentence)

Specific Brutal Acts:

  • Thomas Sibick – stole Officer Fanone’s badge and radio while Fanone was being beaten and having a heart attack
  • Julian Khater – sprayed Officer Sicknick and others with chemical spray (Sicknick died the next day)
  • Christopher Quaglin – choked an officer, inflicted bodily injury (12 years)
  • Multiple people caused serious bodily injury to officers

Obstruction & Property Destruction:

  • Broke through police lines
  • Smashed windows and doors of the Capitol
  • Destroyed government property
  • Prevented Congress from certifying election
  • Some came armed with guns, knives, clubs
  • Christopher Alberts – brought a loaded pistol, used pallet as battering ram

The Scale:

  • 1,500+ pardons for people convicted after trials or guilty pleas
  • These weren’t “tourists” – they were convicted by juries or pled guilty
  • 140+ police officers injured
  • Millions in property damage
  • Democracy itself threatened

Why Should ANY of Them Be Pardoned?

Traditional Pardon Criteria – Do These Cases Meet Them?

1. Evidence of Innocence/Wrongful Conviction?

  • NO – These people were convicted by juries who saw evidence
  • ❌ Many pled guilty – they admitted they did it
  • ❌ Had full due process – lawyers, trials, appeals

2. Excessive Sentences?

  • ❌ Most sentences were below federal guidelines
  • ❌ Judges (many appointed by Republicans) considered each case individually
  • ❌ People who cooperated got lighter sentences; those who didn’t got harsher ones

3. Rehabilitation/Remorse?

  • ❌ Many showed NO remorse
  • ❌ Some gave Nazi salutes after conviction
  • ❌ Many continue to claim they did nothing wrong
  • ❌ Some threatened witnesses and officials

4. Service to Country/Community?

  • ❌ They attacked the country
  • ❌ They beat police officers trying to protect Congress
  • ❌ They tried to prevent the peaceful transfer of power

5. Time Served/Changed Circumstances?

  • ❌ Many had just been sentenced
  • ❌ Some hadn’t even started serving yet
  • ❌ Tarrio got 22 years in May 2023, pardoned January 2025 – served less than 2 years

6. Injustice in Prosecution?

  • ❌ Prosecuted under laws that existed before Jan 6
  • ❌ Evidence was overwhelming (videos, their own social media posts)
  • ❌ Had defense attorneys
  • ❌ Could appeal (many did, unsuccessfully)

The Real “Justification”:

There is literally NO traditional pardon justification. The only “reason” is:

They were loyal to Trump.

That’s it. That’s the whole justification.

  • They tried to keep him in power
  • They believed his lies about the election
  • They attacked the Capitol on his behalf
  • Therefore: Pardoned

Why This Is Extraordinarily Dangerous:

1. It Rewards Political Violence

  • Message: “Attack the government for Trump, get pardoned”
  • Creates incentive for future violence
  • Tells supporters violence has no consequences

2. It Disrespects Police

  • 140+ officers injured
  • Some permanently disabled
  • Officers testified these were the worst attacks of their careers
  • Trump claims to be “pro-police” while pardoning their attackers

3. It Undermines Rule of Law

  • Thousands of hours of investigation
  • Millions of dollars in prosecution costs
  • Hundreds of trials
  • All erased because of political loyalty

4. It Betrays the Officers Who Died

  • Officer Brian Sicknick died
  • Officer Howard Liebengood – suicide days later
  • Officer Jeffrey Smith – suicide days later
  • Multiple officers later died by suicide
  • Their attackers: Pardoned

5. It Rewrites History

  • Trump calls them “hostages” and “patriots”
  • Reality: Convicted criminals who beat cops
  • Tries to memory-hole the actual violence

The Ultimate Insult:

Some of these pardoned individuals:

  • Gave Nazi salutes after conviction
  • Threatened judges and prosecutors
  • Showed zero remorse
  • Said they’d do it again
  • Still claim the election was stolen

And they were rewarded with full pardons.

Meanwhile:

  • ✓ Officers who defended the Capitol have PTSD
  • ✓ Some officers are permanently disabled
  • ✓ American democracy was attacked
  • ✓ The peaceful transfer of power was disrupted

Bottom Line:

There is ZERO legitimate justification for these pardons.

This isn’t about mercy, justice, or correcting wrongs. This is about:

  • Rewarding loyalty
  • Rewriting history
  • Sending a message that political violence for Trump is acceptable
  • Establishing that Trump supporters are above the law

These weren’t protesters exercising First Amendment rights. They were convicted criminals who:

  • Beat police officers
  • Broke into the Capitol
  • Tried to stop the constitutional process
  • Some plotted seditious conspiracy

Every single one was convicted through the legal system. Every single one had due process. Every single one was guilty.

And every single one was pardoned for one reason only: They did it for Trump.

That’s not how pardons are supposed to work. That’s authoritarianism.

PROMPT:

how or can we motivate any of these spineless republicans to break rank re: Trump and his desired to be a dictator?

The Brutal Truth About Motivating These “Concerned” Republicans

The Pattern We’ve Seen Before:

Their Words:

  • “I’m disappointed…”
  • “I wish he had done it differently…”
  • “I don’t support this…”
  • “People who assault police should face consequences…”

Their Actions:

  • Vote with Trump anyway
  • Block any consequences
  • Fold under pressure
  • Stay in line when it matters

Why They Won’t Break Rank:

1. Primary Threats

  • Trump controls the GOP base
  • One tweet = primary challenger
  • Ask Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger what standing up cost them
  • Even these mild objections will likely disappear

2. Career Over Country

  • They value their positions more than principles
  • Retirement is easier than resistance
  • Committee assignments > constitutional principles

3. They’ve Already Shown Us Who They Are

Remember:

  • Mitch McConnell said Trump was responsible for Jan 6… then voted to acquit
  • Lindsey Graham denounced Trump on Jan 6 night… then flew to Mar-a-Lago to kiss the ring
  • Kevin McCarthy blamed Trump… then went crawling back
  • Pattern: Outrage → Capitulation → Compliance

4. The System Protects Them

  • Gerrymandered safe districts
  • Partisan media ecosystem
  • No real electoral consequences in red states/districts

What Might Actually Work (Realistic Assessment):

1. Electoral Consequences (Limited Effectiveness)

Target the Vulnerable:

  • Susan Collins (ME) – Purple state, up in 2026
  • Thom Tillis (NC) – Competitive state, up in 2026
  • Don Bacon (NE-02) – Competitive district, up in 2026
  • Mike Lawler (NY-17) – Biden +10 district, up in 2026

Strategy:

  • Remind them their “disappointment” means nothing without action
  • Organize in their districts/states NOW
  • Primary pressure from moderates OR general election threat
  • Make them choose: Trump or survival

Reality Check: Most will calculate Trump > voters and stay loyal

2. Economic Pressure on Trump (Indirect)

Since Republicans won’t defy Trump directly, make Trump’s policies hurt:

  • When tariffs raise prices → blame Trump AND the Republicans who enabled him
  • When deportations harm local businesses → tie it to their votes
  • When cuts hurt constituents → make it personal and local

Goal: Make Republicans realize Trump is electoral poison, not political gold

3. Target Their Donors

Follow the money:

  • Corporate donors claim to care about “law and order”
  • Police unions endorsed some of these Republicans
  • Business groups want stability, not chaos

Strategy:

  • Public campaigns: “Why are you funding someone who pardoned cop-beaters?”
  • Shareholder pressure on corporate donors
  • Force them to choose between Trump loyalty and donor relationships

Reality Check: Citizens United means donors often care more about taxes than democracy

4. Relentless Public Pressure

Town Halls:

  • Show up with questions
  • Bring videos of Jan 6 violence
  • Ask why “disappointment” doesn’t equal action
  • Don’t let them hide

Social Media:

  • Every time they vote with Trump: “You said you were disappointed about pardoning cop-beaters. Why did you vote [X]?”
  • Clip their words, show their votes
  • Make the hypocrisy impossible to ignore

Local Media:

  • Op-eds in their hometown papers
  • Letters to the editor
  • Local TV interviews

5. Support Primary Challengers

From the Right (Low Probability):

  • Find actual conservatives who care about rule of law
  • Military veterans appalled by Jan 6
  • Former law enforcement

From the Left (Where Viable):

  • Competitive districts need strong Democratic challengers
  • Fund them early
  • Make these Republicans defend their Trump loyalty

6. Law Enforcement Pressure

These Republicans claim to “back the blue”:

  • Fraternal Order of Police already condemned the pardons
  • Capitol Police unions condemned the pardons
  • Local police unions in their districts should demand meetings
  • Retired officers should run against them

Force the contradiction: “You can’t ‘back the blue’ and support pardoning people who beat cops.”

7. Veterans Groups

Many of these Republicans wrap themselves in military service:

  • 77% of veterans opposed these pardons (per polling)
  • Veterans groups should publicly break with them
  • Make them choose: veterans or Trump

8. The Long Game: State-Level Action

Since federal Republicans won’t act:

  • State AGs can investigate state crimes related to Jan 6
  • State legislatures can pass resolutions condemning the pardons
  • Local governments can refuse federal cooperation on Trump policies
  • Build resistance infrastructure now

The Hard Truth:

Most of these Republicans will fall in line.

Why?

  1. They always do – We’ve seen this movie before
  2. Trump controls the base – Primary threats are real
  3. Fox News will cover for them – Their voters won’t hear about the contradictions
  4. No immediate consequences – Midterms are 2 years away
  5. Cowardice is comfortable – Resistance is hard

The Only Real Solution:

Vote them out.

Not “pressure them to be better” – they won’t be. Not “hope they find their spine” – they don’t have one. Not “appeal to their better angels” – those angels left town years ago.

Replace them.

Actionable Steps (Right Now):

Individual Level:

  1. Register to vote (if you haven’t)
  2. Register others (friends, family, neighbors)
  3. Volunteer for campaigns against these Republicans
  4. Donate (even $5) to viable challengers
  5. Show up to town halls and ask hard questions
  6. Write letters to local papers
  7. Organize with like-minded people in your community

Organizational Level:

  1. Join or support:
    • Local Democratic party organizations
    • Sister District Project (flip state legislatures)
    • Run for Something (recruit local candidates)
    • Indivisible (local resistance groups)
  2. Focus on 2026 Senate races:
    • Maine (Collins)
    • North Carolina (Tillis)
    • Iowa (Ernst)
    • Texas (Cornyn)
    • These are gettable if we organize NOW
  3. Target vulnerable House Republicans:
    • NY-17 (Lawler)
    • NE-02 (Bacon)
    • CA-27 (Garcia)
    • Any R+5 or less district

The Uncomfortable Reality:

You probably can’t motivate these Republicans to break rank.

They’ve already shown you who they are. Believe them.

What you CAN do:

  • Make their political calculations change
  • Make Trump toxic to their reelection
  • Replace them with people who have spines
  • Build power at state and local levels
  • Play the long game

Final Thought:

Stop waiting for Republicans to save democracy.

They won’t.

They had chances:

  • ✗ First impeachment
  • ✗ Second impeachment
  • ✗ Liz Cheney’s censure
  • ✗ Jan 6 Committee
  • ✗ Trump’s indictments
  • ✗ These pardons

Every time, they chose Trump.

The only thing that will stop this is electoral consequences.

Make 2026 about one question: “Do you support pardoning cop-beaters, or not?”

Force them to defend it.

Then vote them out.

That’s the only “motivation” that works.

PROMPT: what happened to Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger

What Happened to Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger: A Cautionary Tale

These two Republicans actually stood up to Trump on January 6. Here’s what it cost them:


LIZ CHENEY

Who She Was:

  • Daughter of Dick Cheney (former VP under Bush)
  • Wyoming Representative – reliably red state (Trump +43 in 2020)
  • #3 Republican in House Leadership (House Republican Conference Chair)
  • Conservative voting record: Voted with Trump over 90% of the time on policy
  • Republican royalty – impeccable conservative credentials

What She Did:

January 6, 2021:

  • Immediately condemned the attack
  • Called it what it was: an insurrection incited by Trump

January 13, 2021 (one week later):

  • Voted to impeach Trump for inciting the insurrection
  • One of only 10 House Republicans to do so
  • Released a statement: “There has never been a greater betrayal by a President”

May 2021:

  • Refused to back down or apologize
  • Kept saying Trump was responsible for Jan 6
  • Kept saying the 2020 election wasn’t stolen

May 12, 2021:

  • Removed from House leadership by her own party
  • Republicans held a voice vote to strip her of leadership position
  • Her crime? Telling the truth about January 6

July 2021:

  • Accepted position on January 6 Committee
  • Served as Vice Chair (only Republican in leadership role)
  • Became face of Republican opposition to Trump

The Consequences:

Political Destruction:

  • Wyoming Republican Party censured her (November 2021)
  • Wyoming GOP voted to no longer recognize her as a Republican (February 2022)
  • Trump held a rally in Wyoming against her
  • Trump endorsed her primary opponent: Harriet Hageman

August 16, 2022: PRIMARY MASSACRE

  • Lost Republican primary by 37 points (66% to 29%)
  • A Cheney lost in Wyoming – think about that
  • Voters in her own party rejected her

Current Status:

  • Out of Congress (term ended January 2023)
  • Campaigned for Democrats in 2024
  • Endorsed and voted for Kamala Harris
  • Now teaching at University of Virginia
  • Wrote a book: “Oath and Honor”
  • Facing retribution from Trump administration (more below)

ADAM KINZINGER

Who He Was:

  • Illinois Representative (6 terms, 2011-2023)
  • Air Force veteran – flew missions in Iraq and Afghanistan
  • Lieutenant Colonel in Air National Guard
  • Conservative Republican – Tea Party support initially
  • Young rising star in Republican Party

What He Did:

January 6, 2021:

  • Immediately condemned the attack
  • Called out Trump’s role

January 13, 2021:

  • Voted to impeach Trump
  • One of only 10 House Republicans to do so
  • Gave emotional floor speech about defending the Constitution

February 2021:

  • Censured by Illinois Republican Party
  • 11 county Republican parties in his district censured him

July 2021:

  • Accepted Pelosi’s invitation to serve on January 6 Committee
  • One of only two Republicans on the committee (with Cheney)

Throughout 2021-2022:

  • Regularly appeared on TV criticizing Trump
  • Called out Republican cowardice
  • Became emotional discussing Jan 6 during hearings
  • Said he received death threats
  • Said his family received death threats

The Consequences:

Political Destruction:

  • Redistricted out – Illinois Democrats (who controlled redistricting) didn’t help him
  • His district was merged with another Republican’s
  • Faced impossible primary fight against Trump-endorsed opponent

October 2021:

  • Announced he would not run for reelection
  • Essentially forced out

Current Status:

  • Left Congress (January 2023)
  • Started a PAC supporting anti-Trump Republicans
  • Became CNN commentator
  • Wrote a book: “Renegade: Defending Democracy and Liberty in Our Divided Country”
  • Actively campaigned against Trump in 2024
  • Facing retribution from Trump administration (more below)

The Other 8 House Republicans Who Voted to Impeach:

Here’s what happened to all 10 who voted to impeach Trump:

  1. Liz Cheney (WY) – Lost primary by 37 points
  2. Adam Kinzinger (IL) – Forced out, didn’t run
  3. Tom Rice (SC) – Lost primary by 26 points
  4. Jaime Herrera Beutler (WA) – Lost primary
  5. Peter Meijer (MI) – Lost primary
  6. John Katko (NY) – Retired rather than face primary
  7. Anthony Gonzalez (OH) – Retired rather than face primary
  8. Fred Upton (MI) – Retired rather than face primary
  9. Dan Newhouse (WA) – Survived primary, still serving
  10. David Valadao (CA) – Survived primary, still serving

Only 2 of 10 are still in Congress.

Both Newhouse and Valadao represent California-style top-two primary states, which helped them survive.


The Senate Impeachment Vote (Equally Brutal):

7 Republican Senators voted to convict Trump:

  1. Richard Burr (NC) – Censured by NC GOP, retired
  2. Bill Cassidy (LA) – Censured by LA GOP, still serving (notice he’s now “disappointed” by pardons but won’t act)
  3. Susan Collins (ME) – Still serving (now making sad statements about pardons)
  4. Lisa Murkowski (AK) – Censured by Alaska GOP, still serving (also “disappointed”)
  5. Mitt Romney (UT) – Censured by Utah GOP, retired (only one who maintained integrity throughout)
  6. Ben Sasse (NE) – Became university president, resigned from Senate
  7. Pat Toomey (PA) – Retired

Pattern: Vote to hold Trump accountable = Career over or constant harassment


Trump’s Revenge (Happening NOW):

Cheney – Under Active Investigation:

January 2025 – Trump’s Retribution Begins:

  1. Trump is seeking FBI investigation into Cheney for her Jan 6 Committee work
  2. Accused of witness tampering (completely baseless)
  3. Accused of destroying evidence (the committee properly archived everything)
  4. May face prosecution under Trump’s DOJ
  5. Trump on Truth Social: “Liz Cheney could be in a lot of trouble”

Kinzinger – Also Targeted:

  1. Trump allies calling for investigation
  2. Death threats continue
  3. Smeared constantly on right-wing media

The Message Being Sent:

“This is what happens when you stand up to Trump.”

Not just your political career ends – you may be criminally prosecuted for telling the truth.


Why This Matters for Current “Concerned” Republicans:

Every single Republican in Congress watched what happened to Cheney and Kinzinger.

They learned the lesson:

  • ✓ Cross Trump = Career over
  • ✓ Lose primary by 30+ points
  • ✓ Get censured by your own party
  • ✓ Receive death threats
  • ✓ Maybe get investigated/prosecuted

Meanwhile:

  • ✓ Stay loyal = Keep your seat
  • ✓ Make “concerned” statements = Look principled without consequences
  • ✓ Vote with Trump anyway = Keep your power

The Broader Purge:

Trump didn’t just go after the impeachment voters. He systematically purged anyone who showed independence:

Lost Primaries/Forced Out:

  • Jeff Flake (AZ Senator) – Criticized Trump, didn’t run in 2018
  • Bob Corker (TN Senator) – Criticized Trump, didn’t run in 2018
  • Mark Sanford (SC Rep) – Criticized Trump, lost 2018 primary
  • Joe Crowley… wait, he was a Democrat. But you see the pattern.

Still in Office but Neutered:

  • Mitch McConnell – Said Trump caused Jan 6, voted to acquit, now backs Trump
  • Lindsey Graham – Said “count me out” on Jan 6 night, now Trump’s biggest defender
  • Kevin McCarthy – Blamed Trump for Jan 6, then flew to Mar-a-Lago to beg forgiveness

The Lessons for Today’s “Concerned” Republicans:

When Thom Tillis says “I’m concerned about safety on Capitol Hill”… When Susan Collins says “I don’t support pardoning violent offenders”… When Bill Cassidy says “back the blue”

They all remember what happened to Cheney and Kinzinger.

So they:

  1. Make concerned statements (for moderates/media)
  2. Do absolutely nothing (to avoid Trump’s wrath)
  3. Vote with Trump when it counts (to keep their seats)
  4. Hope voters forget by next election

What Cheney and Kinzinger Showed Us:

The Good News:

  • Some Republicans still have principles
  • Some value oath over party
  • Constitutional courage still exists

The Bad News:

  • It costs everything
  • The party punishes truth-tellers
  • Trump’s grip is total
  • There’s no path back

The Realistic Assessment:

Don’t expect other Republicans to follow their example.

The punishment was too severe. The lesson was too clear.

Cheney and Kinzinger are cautionary tales Republicans tell each other about what happens when you put country over Trump.


Where They Are Now (A Contrast):

Liz Cheney:

  • Teaching at UVA
  • Writing, speaking
  • Campaigning for democracy
  • Facing possible prosecution
  • Can’t go home – Wyoming turned on her completely
  • Net worth from book deals, speaking fees
  • Respected by historians, reviled by her former party

Adam Kinzinger:

  • CNN analyst
  • Running anti-Trump PAC
  • Active on social media
  • Facing death threats
  • Can’t be a Republican – party wants nothing to do with him
  • Trying to rebuild “Country First” conservatism
  • Voice in wilderness

Meanwhile, the cowards who stayed silent:

  • Still in Congress
  • Still have power
  • Still have committee assignments
  • Still get invited to Trump events
  • Still have their careers

The Ultimate Question:

Was it worth it?

Cheney and Kinzinger would say yes – they kept their oaths, their integrity, their souls.

The other Republicans would say no – look what happened to them.

History will say: Cheney and Kinzinger were right, and the cowards enabled authoritarianism.

But in the short term: The cowards kept their power, and the heroes lost everything.


That’s Why Republicans Won’t Break Rank

They watched two of their colleagues:

  • Lose their careers
  • Get death threats
  • Get censured by their own party
  • Get drummed out of the GOP
  • Now face potential prosecution

For what? For telling the truth about January 6.

So when you ask “how do we motivate Republicans to break rank?”

The answer is: You can’t.

They saw what happened to the last ones who did.

The only solution is to replace them with people who won’t need to be motivated to do the right thing.